Central banks · Neuralis Cap article

ECB Governing Council keeps key rates unchanged

On 29 October 2026 the ECB decided to keep deposit, main refinancing and marginal lending rates at 2.50%, 2.65% and 2.90% respectively, while flagging inflation risks from rising energy prices.

The European Central Bank Governing Council announced on 29 October 2026 that its three benchmark rates – the deposit facility rate (2.50%), the main refinancing operations rate (2.65%) and the marginal lending facility rate (2.90%) – will remain unchanged. The press release also noted that energy prices continue to rise, creating upside risks for inflation and downside risks for growth.

Although the full impact of the energy shock is still unfolding, underlying inflation has stayed broadly stable and wages have not shown a material response yet. Tighter financing conditions since the last meeting are likely to weigh on both inflation and growth.

The ECB reaffirmed its commitment to bring inflation back to its 2% medium‑term target and said its approach will stay data‑dependent, deciding on policy meeting by meeting. The asset purchase programme (APP) and the pandemic emergency purchase programme (PEPP) are declining in a measured, predictable way as the Eurosystem no longer reinvests principal payments from maturing securities.

In the broader market snapshot, Bitcoin is priced at 77757.25 dollars, down 4.35% over the past 24 hours, while Ethereum trades at 2240.49 dollars, down 4.96% in the same period.

Neuralis Cap article

Data: European Central Bank · Neuralis Cap (BTC and ETH prices from Binance)

Market impact

If energy price pressures endure, inflation could stay above the 2% target, increasing the likelihood that the ECB would modify its monetary stance. Conversely, if economic growth remains weak, the Council may keep rates steady, continuing its data‑driven, meeting‑by‑meeting approach in the coming months.

Neuralis Cap analysis for informational purposes only. It does not constitute investment advice.

Article written by Neuralis Cap with AI assistance solely from the data and primary sources listed. It does not constitute investment advice.

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